@inproceedings{krumm2011learning, author = {Krumm, John and Brush, A.J.}, title = {Learning Time-Based Presence Probabilities}, booktitle = {Pervasive 2011}, year = {2011}, month = {June}, abstract = {Many potential pervasive computing applications could use predictions of when a person will be at a certain place. Using a survey and GPS data from 34 participants in 11 households, we develop and test algorithms for predicting when a person will be at home or away. We show that our participants’ self-reported home/away schedules are not very accurate, and we introduce a probabilistic home/away schedule computed from observed GPS data. The computation includes smoothing and a soft schedule template. We show how the probabilistic schedule outperforms both the self-reported schedule and an algorithm based on driving time. We also show how to combine our algorithm with the best part of the drive time algorithm for a slight boost in performance.}, publisher = {Springer Verlag}, url = {http://approjects.co.za/?big=en-us/research/publication/learning-time-based-presence-probabilities/}, edition = {Pervasive 2011}, }