@inproceedings{minka1998nuances,
author = {Minka, Tom},
title = {Nuances of Probability Theory},
year = {1998},
month = {July},
abstract = {The probability statement P(A | B) = p has a very different meaning from the logical statement "B implies A with certainty p". The logical statement means that whenever B is true then A is true with certainty p. This applies regardless of any other information we may have. In other words, it is modular. But the probability statement is not modular: it applies when the only thing we know is B. If anything else is known, e.g. C, than we must refer to P(A | B, C) instead. The only exception is when we can prove that C is conditionally independent of A given B, so that P(A | B, C) = P(A | B).},
url = {http://approjects.co.za/?big=en-us/research/publication/nuances-probability-theory/},
}