{"id":581146,"date":"2019-04-24T12:10:32","date_gmt":"2019-04-24T19:10:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/?post_type=msr-research-item&p=581146"},"modified":"2019-04-24T12:10:32","modified_gmt":"2019-04-24T19:10:32","slug":"empirical-bayesian-analysis-of-simultaneous-changepoints-in-multiple-data-sequences","status":"publish","type":"msr-research-item","link":"https:\/\/www.microsoft.com\/en-us\/research\/publication\/empirical-bayesian-analysis-of-simultaneous-changepoints-in-multiple-data-sequences\/","title":{"rendered":"Empirical Bayesian Analysis of Simultaneous Changepoints in Multiple Data Sequences"},"content":{"rendered":"

Copy number variations in cancer cells and volatility fluctuations in stock prices are commonly manifested as changepoints occurring at the same positions across related data sequences. We introduce a Bayesian modeling framework, BASIC, that employs a changepoint prior to capture the co-occurrence tendency in data of this type. We design efficient algorithms to sample from and maximize over the BASIC changepoint posterior and develop a Monte Carlo expectation-maximization procedure to select prior hyperparameters in an empirical Bayes fashion. We use the resulting BASIC framework to analyze DNA copy number variations in the NCI-60 cancer cell lines and to identify important events that affected the price volatility of S&P 500 stocks from 2000 to 2009.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Copy number variations in cancer cells and volatility fluctuations in stock prices are commonly manifested as changepoints occurring at the same positions across related data sequences. We introduce a Bayesian modeling framework, BASIC, that employs a changepoint prior to capture the co-occurrence tendency in data of this type. We design efficient algorithms to sample from 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